<\/p>\n
Reklamat p\u00ebr Kalshi n\u00eb qytetin e Nju Jorkut parashikuan nj\u00eb fitore p\u00ebr Zohran Mamdanin n\u00eb zgjedhjet p\u00ebr kryetar bashkie t\u00eb qytetit p\u00ebrpara se t\u00eb num\u00ebroheshin votat dhe t\u00eb mbylleshin qendrat e votimit m\u00eb 4 n\u00ebntor 2025. Olga Fedorova\/AP fsheh n\u00ebnshkrimin\n <\/p>\n
nd\u00ebrro titrat<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n Olga Fedorova\/AP<\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n Platforma e tregut t\u00eb parashikimeve Kalshi po rritet aq shum\u00eb n\u00eb mandatin e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb Trump, saq\u00eb po nxit di\u00e7ka si nj\u00eb gar\u00eb armatimi: Robinhood, Coinbase, FanDuel dhe DraftKings kan\u00eb shpallur t\u00eb gjitha sh\u00ebrbimet rivale n\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr t\u00eb kapur manin\u00eb e tregut t\u00eb parashikimeve, pasi tregtar\u00ebt shpenzojn\u00eb qindra mij\u00ebra dollar\u00eb duke spekuluar p\u00ebr ngjarjet e ardhshme.<\/p>\n Por perspektiva afatgjat\u00eb p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb industri t\u00eb sapolindur mund t\u00eb varet nga m\u00ebnyra se si nj\u00eb seri betejash ligjore p\u00ebrcaktojn\u00eb nj\u00eb fjal\u00eb t\u00eb vetme: Loj\u00ebra.<\/p>\n Kalshi i lejon njer\u00ebzit t\u00eb vendosin baste p\u00ebr sportet, ngjarjet e lajmeve dhe t\u00eb gjitha llojet e ngjarjeve kulturore, duke p\u00ebrpunuar miliarda dollar\u00eb n\u00eb baste javore dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb n\u00ebnshkruar partneritete me organizatat kryesore t\u00eb lajmeve.<\/p>\n Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb bixhozi me dollar\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb ngjarjet aktuale z\u00eb titujt kryesor\u00eb, rreth 90% e aktivitetit n\u00eb Kalshi \u00ebsht\u00eb i lidhur me sportin. Megjithat\u00eb, Kalshi nuk konsiderohet si nj\u00eb faqe kumari sportiv, si FanDuel dhe DraftKings.<\/p>\n N\u00eb vend t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj, ato mbik\u00ebqyren nga Komisioni i Tregtis\u00eb s\u00eb t\u00eb Ardhmes s\u00eb Mallrave, nj\u00eb agjenci q\u00eb rregullon “kontratat e s\u00eb ardhmes”, t\u00eb cilat Kalshi thot\u00eb se ofron.<\/p>\n Sipas ligjit federal, “loj\u00ebrat” jan\u00eb nj\u00eb lloj i ndaluar i kontrat\u00ebs s\u00eb s\u00eb ardhmes – di\u00e7ka q\u00eb tani po diskutohet n\u00eb shum\u00eb gjykata federale.<\/p>\n E ardhmja e Kalshit, dhe ndoshta e gjith\u00eb industris\u00eb s\u00eb tregut t\u00eb parashikimeve, mund t\u00eb varet nga bindja e gjykatave se vendosja e basteve monetare n\u00eb ngjarjet sportive nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb lloj loje.<\/p>\n Jan\u00eb n\u00ebnt\u00ebmb\u00ebdhjet\u00eb padi federale n\u00eb pritje n\u00eb faza t\u00eb ndryshme q\u00eb luftojn\u00eb me ligjshm\u00ebrin\u00eb e aplikacionit n\u00eb sfondin e ligjeve shtet\u00ebrore t\u00eb loj\u00ebrave t\u00eb fatit q\u00eb kan\u00eb pasur tradicionalisht mbik\u00ebqyrje mbi aktivitetin e bastor\u00ebve, sipas nj\u00eb rishikimi nga NPR.<\/p>\n Tregtar\u00ebt vendosin baste p\u00ebr ngjarjet aktuale n\u00eb platform\u00ebn Kalshi. Pamja e ekranit nga NPR fsheh titrat\n <\/p>\n nd\u00ebrro titrat<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Pamja e ekranit nga NPR<\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n Kalshi ka angazhuar nj\u00eb kuad\u00ebr avokat\u00ebsh t\u00eb profilit t\u00eb lart\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb ngritur \u00e7\u00ebshtjen e tyre se bastet sportive n\u00eb faqe nuk jan\u00eb nj\u00eb “loj\u00eb” dhe se ligjet e shtetit nuk zbatohen p\u00ebr ta, pasi ato jan\u00eb t\u00eb rregulluara n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb federale.<\/p>\n “Malet e autoritetit konfirmojn\u00eb se ligji (ligji federal) parandalon zbatimin e ligjit t\u00eb shtetit,” shkroi avokati i Kalshi, Neal Katyal n\u00eb nj\u00eb p\u00ebrmbledhje t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb jav\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtje n\u00eb pritje p\u00ebrpara Gjykat\u00ebs s\u00eb 4-t\u00eb t\u00eb Apelit t\u00eb Qarkut t\u00eb SHBA. “T\u00eb lejosh secilin shtet t\u00eb rregulloj\u00eb (tregjet e parashikimit) n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme do t\u00eb d\u00ebshp\u00ebronte qart\u00eb synimin e Kongresit p\u00ebr t\u00eb sjell\u00eb tregjet e s\u00eb ardhmes ‘n\u00ebn nj\u00eb grup rregullash uniforme’.”<\/p>\n Daniel Wallach, nj\u00eb avokat lojrash, i cili \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb kritik i hapur i tregjeve t\u00eb parashikimit, tha se manovrimi gjuh\u00ebsor i Kalshit p\u00ebr t\u00eb shmangur ligjet e shtetit fsheh natyr\u00ebn e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb t\u00eb kompanis\u00eb.<\/p>\n “Ata jan\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb n\u00eb loj\u00ebra t\u00eb fatit, pavar\u00ebsisht se si po p\u00ebrpiqen ta quajn\u00eb at\u00eb,” tha Wallach. “N\u00ebse shikoni ofertat e tyre, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb loj\u00ebrat e para, bastet, p\u00ebr sportet, ky \u00ebsht\u00eb mish\u00ebrimi i loj\u00ebrave t\u00eb fatit sportiv.”<\/p>\n Kryetari i ri i CFTC Michael Selig sugjeroi nj\u00eb ngjarje t\u00eb enjten q\u00eb administrata Trump mund t\u00eb filloj\u00eb t\u00eb sfidoj\u00eb shtetet q\u00eb e kan\u00eb t\u00ebrhequr Kalshin n\u00eb gjykat\u00eb.<\/p>\n “Un\u00eb kam drejtuar stafin e CFTC q\u00eb t\u00eb rivler\u00ebsoj\u00eb pjes\u00ebmarrjen e Komisionit n\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtjet q\u00eb aktualisht jan\u00eb n\u00eb pritje p\u00ebrpara gjykatave federale t\u00eb rrethit dhe qarkut,” tha Selig. “Kur \u00e7\u00ebshtjet juridiksionale jan\u00eb n\u00eb pyetje, Komisioni ka ekspertiz\u00ebn dhe p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebsin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbrojtur juridiksionin e tij ekskluziv mbi derivatet e mallrave.”<\/p>\n Kalshi \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrballur me nj\u00eb bresh\u00ebri padish, ashtu si kompania ka ngritur sulmet e veta ligjore n\u00eb gjykatat federale anemban\u00eb vendit.<\/p>\n Tet\u00eb nga padit\u00eb jan\u00eb nga komisionet shtet\u00ebrore t\u00eb loj\u00ebrave t\u00eb fatit dhe fiset indiane q\u00eb akuzojn\u00eb Kalshin p\u00ebr operimin e nj\u00eb platforme t\u00eb palicencuar t\u00eb loj\u00ebrave t\u00eb fatit sportiv; gjasht\u00eb nga padit\u00eb jan\u00eb Kalshi n\u00eb ofensiv\u00eb, duke paditur rregullator\u00ebt shtet\u00ebror\u00eb duke pretenduar se jan\u00eb jasht\u00eb fush\u00ebveprimit t\u00eb rregullave shtet\u00ebrore t\u00eb loj\u00ebrave t\u00eb fatit. Pes\u00eb ankesat e tjera u depozituan nga individ\u00eb q\u00eb argumentojn\u00eb se Kalshi \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb sh\u00ebrbim i paligjsh\u00ebm q\u00eb po p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebson var\u00ebsin\u00eb ndaj loj\u00ebrave t\u00eb fatit. Kat\u00ebr nga k\u00ebto raste k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb statusin e grupit t\u00eb veprimit.<\/p>\n Grindja midis shteteve dhe qeveris\u00eb federale mbi Kalshi do t\u00eb vendos\u00eb ritmin p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb industrin\u00eb e tregut t\u00eb parashikimeve, tha Koleman Strumpf, nj\u00eb profesor i ekonomis\u00eb n\u00eb Universitetin Wake Forest q\u00eb studion tregjet e parashikimeve.<\/p>\n \u201cDo t\u00eb jet\u00eb di\u00e7ka q\u00eb Gjykata e Lart\u00eb, dhe ndoshta edhe Kongresi, do t\u00eb duhet t\u00eb peshojn\u00eb\u201d, tha Strumpf. \u201cGj\u00ebja themelore n\u00eb t\u00eb cil\u00ebn b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb se n\u00eb \u00e7far\u00eb shkalle ka ende aft\u00ebsi teknike t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshira (n\u00eb baste) dhe cili \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrkufizimi i ‘loj\u00ebrave’,” tha ai.<\/p>\n Kalshi ishte p\u00ebrballur me rregullator\u00ebt p\u00ebr vite p\u00ebrpara se t\u00eb prezantonte bastet sportive. N\u00eb janar 2025, ajo njoftoi prezantimin e ngjarjeve sportive dhe shpejt u rrit n\u00eb popullaritet. Ai u dha njer\u00ebzve akses n\u00eb baste sportive t\u00eb gjalla, sekond\u00eb pas sekonde n\u00eb shtetet ku kumari sportiv \u00ebsht\u00eb i paligjsh\u00ebm, si Kalifornia dhe Teksasi.<\/p>\n “\u00c7far\u00eb ndryshoi?” tha avokati Wallach. “Zgjedhja e Donald J. Trump,”<\/p>\n Donald Trump Jr., djali i presidentit, tani \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb k\u00ebshilltar i Kalshi dhe Polymarket, i cili u detyrua t\u00eb largohej nga SHBA n\u00ebn Biden, por tani po organizon nj\u00eb rikthim n\u00eb SHBA. Rrjeti social i presidentit, TruthSocial, po planifikon gjithashtu t\u00eb lan\u00e7oj\u00eb sh\u00ebrbimin e tij t\u00eb tregut t\u00eb parashikimeve.<\/p>\n Me mb\u00ebshtetjen politike t\u00eb administrat\u00ebs Trump, avokat\u00ebt e Kalshit kan\u00eb argumentuar n\u00eb rreth 20 padit\u00eb se ligji federal i tejkalon rregullat shtet\u00ebrore t\u00eb loj\u00ebrave.<\/p>\n N\u00ebn Trump, CFTC i ka hapur rrug\u00ebn Kalshit q\u00eb t\u00eb pres\u00eb bastet p\u00ebr sportet, zgjedhjet dhe rezultatin e ngjarjeve t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb ndryshme t\u00eb ardhshme, nga numri i emigrant\u00ebve q\u00eb SHBA do t\u00eb deportoj\u00eb deri tek ajo k\u00ebng\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u00eb hap\u00eb shfaqjen e pjes\u00ebs s\u00eb par\u00eb t\u00eb muzikantit Bad Bunny n\u00eb NFL.<\/p>\n Nj\u00eb shembull i nj\u00eb tregu n\u00eb platform\u00ebn tregtare Kalshi. Pamja e ekranit nga NPR\/Kalshi, fshih n\u00ebntitullin\n <\/p>\n nd\u00ebrro titrat<\/p>\n <\/p>\n Pamje nga NPR\/Kalshi<\/p>\n <\/span><\/p>\n P\u00ebr Kalshin, t\u00eb qenit i rregulluar si kontrat\u00eb e s\u00eb ardhmes i n\u00ebnshtron kompanis\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb pak rregulla sesa n\u00ebse do t\u00eb binte n\u00ebn mbik\u00ebqyrjen e komisionit shtet\u00ebror t\u00eb loj\u00ebrave t\u00eb fatit, ose do t\u00eb trajtohej si nj\u00eb vler\u00eb, si bursa, sipas ekspert\u00ebve financiar\u00eb.<\/p>\n Megjithat\u00eb, ka parmak\u00eb mbrojt\u00ebse. P\u00ebr shembull, sipas Aktit t\u00eb Shk\u00ebmbimit t\u00eb Mallrave t\u00eb vitit 1936, i cili u p\u00ebrdit\u00ebsua pas kriz\u00ebs financiare t\u00eb vitit 2008, pes\u00eb lloje t\u00eb kontratave t\u00eb ardhshme jan\u00eb t\u00eb ndaluara: bastet p\u00ebr veprimtari t\u00eb paligjshme, atentate, terroriz\u00ebm, luft\u00eb dhe loj\u00ebra.<\/p>\n N\u00eb nj\u00eb rregull t\u00eb propozuar gjat\u00eb administrat\u00ebs Biden, CFTC u p\u00ebrpoq t\u00eb frenonte industrin\u00eb duke futur n\u00eb list\u00ebn e zez\u00eb bastet sportive dhe zgjedhore, duke argumentuar se ato ishin “n\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtim me interesin publik”, por rregulli nuk u finalizua p\u00ebrpara se administrata Trump t\u00eb rifitonte kontrollin n\u00eb Uashington.<\/p>\n Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb administrata Trump ka marr\u00eb nj\u00eb qasje t\u00eb thjesht\u00eb ndaj industris\u00eb, gjykatat jan\u00eb ndar\u00eb.<\/p>\n Nj\u00eb gjykat\u00eb federale e DC vendosi n\u00eb vitin 2024 se bastet zgjedhore nuk p\u00ebrb\u00ebjn\u00eb “loj\u00eb” n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn m\u00ebnyr\u00eb si pokeri ose makinat e fatit, nd\u00ebrsa gjykatat n\u00eb Maryland dhe Massachusetts kan\u00eb vendosur q\u00eb bastet e Kalshi jan\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb efektive loj\u00ebra.<\/p>\n Kur ligji u p\u00ebrdit\u00ebsua n\u00eb Aktin Dodd-Frank t\u00eb vitit 2010, askush nuk e parashikoi shfaqjen e aplikacioneve t\u00eb tregut t\u00eb parashikimit, i than\u00eb NPR ish-zyrtar\u00eb t\u00eb CFTC-s\u00eb, me nj\u00ebrin q\u00eb p\u00ebrshkruan vendimin e DC si “p\u00ebrforcues raketash” t\u00eb industris\u00eb.<\/p>\n Kalshi thot\u00eb se \u00ebsht\u00eb i bindur se gjykatat federale do t\u00eb vendosin p\u00ebrfundimisht n\u00eb favor t\u00eb saj, por avokati i loj\u00ebrave Wallach parashikon se kompania ka gjasa t\u00eb gjata.<\/p>\n “Ata po hedhin sa m\u00eb shum\u00eb shigjeta kund\u00ebr murit dhe shpresojn\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb ket\u00eb mosmarr\u00ebveshje n\u00eb gjykata p\u00ebr t’u dh\u00ebn\u00eb atyre m\u00eb shum\u00eb pista,” tha ai. “Por Gjykata e Lart\u00eb, ose Kongresi, mund t’i japin fund k\u00ebsaj t\u00eb gjitha shum\u00eb shpejt p\u00ebr ta.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Reklamat p\u00ebr Kalshi n\u00eb qytetin e Nju Jorkut parashikuan nj\u00eb fitore p\u00ebr Zohran Mamdanin n\u00eb zgjedhjet p\u00ebr kryetar bashkie t\u00eb qytetit p\u00ebrpara se t\u00eb num\u00ebroheshin votat dhe t\u00eb mbylleshin qendrat e votimit m\u00eb 4 n\u00ebntor 2025. Olga Fedorova\/AP fsheh n\u00ebnshkrimin nd\u00ebrro titrat Olga Fedorova\/AP Platforma e tregut t\u00eb parashikimeve Kalshi po rritet aq shum\u00eb n\u00eb<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4188,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[3097,3645,3643,3646,3644,3642,2194,71,792],"class_list":{"0":"post-4187","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-esports","8":"tag-aplikacioni","9":"tag-federale","10":"tag-kalshi","11":"tag-npr","12":"tag-padi","13":"tag-parashikimit","14":"tag-perballet","15":"tag-te","16":"tag-tregut"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/beteja.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4187","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/beteja.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/beteja.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beteja.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beteja.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4187"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/beteja.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4187\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beteja.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4188"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/beteja.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4187"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beteja.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4187"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beteja.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4187"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Nd\u00ebrsa proceset gjyq\u00ebsore zvarriten, Gjykata e Lart\u00eb ose Kongresi, mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb fjal\u00ebn e fundit<\/strong><\/h2>\n
Kalshi ishte n\u00ebn presion, m\u00eb pas u zgjodh Trump <\/strong><\/h2>\n